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Judge David Ryan's Blog

Judge David Ryan • Location: Natick, MA
• Member since: July 2004
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The HSX Report -- 5/30/07
May 29th, 2007 10:34PM

Turbulence, thy name is HSX. At least right now. In the wake of Pirates' underperformance, the market is reassessing the values of virtually every blockbuster-potential film out there right now -- including Summer 2008 films.

The Girl from IPOnima
It's Dan Fogler day! I haven't heard from him since "Language of Love" charted back in the mid-'80s... What? Wrong guy? Fogelberg? Well who's this guy then? And why should I drop H$30 on his bond?

Answer: He's got a good resume, but it's not a high gross resume. I'd hold off on DFOGL right now. And while the concept for The Golden Tux (GOTUX) is potentially funny, H$16 is too steep a price.

As for the other IPO today, Repo! The Genetic Opera (REPOG).... I don't know what to say. No? Never? Avoid like herpes? My vocabulary fails me.

No feature today -- just a stock tip. Take a look at Nights in Rodanthe (NRODN). Terrible name, true. And it's quite a bit away from release -- almost exactly a year, actually -- but I sense a decent mid-level feature here. It's not going to pull in $150M at the box office... but at H$26, I think there's good profit potential there for the buy and hold investor.

Keep the faith. Excelsior!

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